Hormuz reopens, but depleted stocks leave the oil market dangerously exposed
June 25, 2026
What the excerpt of the report covers:
- China's 3–4 mb/d crude import drop: why much of this is temporary, not structural.
- Petrochemical stocks drawn down to tight levels, margins are already strengthening.
- EA's estimated floor for Chinese runs at around 12.5 mb/d, imports need to be above 8 mb/d.
- At least 80 mb of new Chinese storage capacity starting up this year.
- US crude inventories (including SPR) at their lowest since 1985, with no buffers left to absorb a demand return.

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