Medium-term Refining market analysis 

Strategic insights for refining industry leaders 

Energy Aspects' Medium-term Refining service provides a comprehensive global refining supply and demand balance, taking into account capacity forecasts, yield shifts, and the impact of biofuels. 


Our service empowers investors, producers, downstream strategy groups and government or regulatory bodies to align their strategies with anticipated market trends and demand patterns. 

Proactive refining perspective

Discover how our service supports industry leaders in refining operations and strategic planning.

Strategic alignment with market trends


We assist downstream strategy groups in developing plans that align with market trends. By understanding regional capacity changes and yield shifts, you can optimise your strategic initiatives. 

Advanced refinery forecasting models 


We leverage econometric models and historical data to predict refining capacity utilisation and margin trends. Our scenario analysis helps you assess the impact of market shocks and regulatory changes, providing a strategic edge. 

Global Refinery browser EA Portal

Benefits of Energy Aspects' Medium-term Refining service 

Dive into our comprehensive forecasts, powered by detailed global supply and demand analyses. Discover how regional capacity shifts, evolving demand patterns and the rise of biofuels are reshaping the industry. Understand the ripple effects on refinery demand and explore the evolution of crude and product trade flows. Gain valuable insights from our forecasts on key crude differentials and product

cracks, assessed from our comprehensive global balances.

US Crude implied balance, actual vs y/y
US Crude implied balance

Informed investment decisions


Investment groups can evaluate the long-term viability of refining assets, identifying potential acquisition targets or divestiture opportunities based on market forecasts and capacity trends.


Scenario planning and stress testing


Evaluate multiple market scenarios impacting refining margins, helping you understand potential risks and opportunities under varying conditions. This supports robust contingency planning. 

Comparative benchmarking


Benchmark current performance against historical averages to identify medium-term trends and turning points. Gain critical insights into competitive positioning and market dynamics. 


Policy development support


Government bodies can develop policies and regulations that address energy security and sustainable refining practices, supported by our comprehensive market insights.

Our Medium-term Refining coverage

Access leading energy and commodities market data and analysis. 

Global refining data:

 


Access comprehensive data from international, regional, and local refinery operations. Track variables such as capacity expansion projects and utilisation rates for a complete market view. 

Actionable insights:



Our service combines quantitative rigour with qualitative market context, providing a well-rounded perspective on medium-term trends. Stay ahead of market changes with proactive monitoring and forecasting.

Historical and predictive data sets:


Combine historical refining runs with projections driven by industry trends. Our rigorous data validation ensures reliability and timely updates for strategic planning.

Recent insights

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