Richard Mallinson

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Richard leads analysis of geopolitics, international affairs and energy policy. The Middle East and North Africa region is his primary focus. Richard is a senior policy professional with more than six years experience working with central government functions in both the UK and Australasia. He has a deep understanding and track record of impact in all aspects of policy-making. He has written articles for a range of publications including MEES and the Oxford Energy Forum and regularly comments on geopolitical events affecting the energy markets. Richard holds a BA in Politics and International Studies from the University of Warwick and is a member of the Royal Institute of International Affairs (Chatham House).

Recent publications

  • | North America Quarterly

    This is the May 2017 edition of our North America Quarterly, covering all important aspects of the region, with a particular focus on the growth of US production and its impact on regional and global balances for both crude and products. The Quarterly is designed to be the most comprehensive guide t..

    2 days ago - Read more

  • | Fundamentals May 2017

    Fundamentals is our monthly review of global oil data, this is the May 2017 edition. With demand starting to rise and OPEC set to extend the production deal for another nine months, we see significant stockdraws through H2 17, particularly in Q3 17 at 1 mb/d. Some of these draws will still not be v..

    2 days ago - Read more

  • | Key agency forecasts

    Over the past week the key agency forecasts have been published. The EIA STEO last Tuesday, OPEC published MOMR Thursday and the IEA published OMR this morning. The IEA and OPEC’s demand growth expectations for 2017 are largely unchanged at 1.3 mb/d, still lower than our 1.5 mb/d estimate, while th..

    1 week ago - Read more

  • | OPEC oil data – Apr 2017

    We estimate OPEC production fell marginally m/m to 32.53 mb/d in April. Our figures include Indonesian production. Compliance among the 11 countries in the production deal rose m/m to 119% as their output fell, while Nigerian production, which is not subject to a cap, rose. Indeed, Nigeria registere..

    1 week ago - Read more

  • | Longing for summer

    With the return of disrupted grades in Nigeria and several fields in western Libya, unplanned upstream outages fell to around 1.2 mb/d as of mid-last week, the lowest since early 2011—before the Arab Spring. Naturally, there was ample downward pressure on prices early last week. The return of Libya..

    1 week ago - Read more