Richard leads analysis of geopolitics, international affairs and energy policy. The Middle East and North Africa region is his primary focus. Richard is a senior policy professional with more than six years experience working with central government functions in both the UK and Australasia. He has a deep understanding and track record of impact in all aspects of policy-making. He has written articles for a range of publications including MEES and the Oxford Energy Forum and regularly comments on geopolitical events affecting the energy markets. Richard holds a BA in Politics and International Studies from the University of Warwick and is a member of the Royal Institute of International Affairs (Chatham House).
Our recently enhanced Middle East & Africa Quarterly provides a comprehensive analysis of the region, examining key topics in depth and providing a detailed guide to regional supply, demand, trade flows and downstream capacity across the Middle East & Africa. Each quarter, focus pieces delve into ke..
1 day ago - Read more
Fundamentals is our monthly review of global oil data, this is the March 2017 edition. Despite all the doom and gloom in the market, 2017 balances have not deteriorated as such, and we still expect stockdraws of 0.7 mb/d across the year. However, Q1 17 expected stockdraws have moderated to 0.2 mb/d..
2 days ago - Read more
Over the past two weeks the key agency forecasts were published. The EIA STEO was released last Tuesday, the OPEC MOMR was published yesterday and the IEA published its OMR today. Across the three key agencies, 2017 demand growth has increasingly converged with our forecast of 1.4 mb/d. However, es..
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We estimate that OPEC production (including Indonesia) rose m/m by 0.16 mb/d in February to 32.88 mb/d—still 0.79 mb/d below average output in Q4 16. We estimate that compliance among the 11 countries party to the OPEC deal was exactly 100%, down from 112% in January. Saudi Arabia accounted for the ..
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Before the reports about a coalition of militias launching an attack on Libyan eastern ports emerged late on Friday, there was very little going for the bulls. Headlines were dominated by sharply higher OPEC exports in February leading to widespread concerns about cheating, and speculation that Saud..
2 weeks ago - Read more