Leyra Fernández Díaz
Leyra joined Energy Aspects in August 2016, working as a natural gas and emissions analyst. She holds a BSc in Politics and Economics from Brunel University. Before joining the team, she previously worked at Bloomberg’s commodity department for 3 years advising clients, and assisting with the development of Bloomberg’s commodity offering.
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EU imports – Feb 2018
Published 9 Mar 2018
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In February, the EU gas market received lower North African imports and LNG sendout but this was offset by increases in Russian pipeline imports via Nord Stream. EU imports of Russian gas in February were 0.41 bcm higher y/y at 12.63 bcm as flows through Nord Stream into Germany expanded by a chu.. -
Spain and Italy – Feb 2018
Published 7 Mar 2018
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Low temperatures across the southern European markets of Spain and Italy led to significantly higher res-com gas demand in February, driving strong y/y increases in total gas consumption—Spanish gas demand grew by 0.43 bcm (17%) and Italian demand by 0.84 bcm (10%). Spanish HDDs were 44% hi.. -
March STEO hikes gas supply and electric power demand forecasts for the 2018 injection season
Published 6 Mar 2018 by -
EU snapshot – Feb 2018
Published 5 Mar 2018
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Cold weather y/y supported aggregate gas demand across Europe in February, increasing the stockdraw y/y. Strong Russian and Norwegian supply helped offset drops in Dutch and UKCS supply. LNG sendout was mixed—up in the UK, Spain and Belgium, but down y/y in Italy and France as higher-priced.. -
European gas
Published 5 Mar 2018
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Record-low temperatures and multiple supply outages led to NBP and European prompt prices skyrocketing last week, but revised forecasts calling for milder weather than previously expected should help prices soften this week. The extraordinary cold and supply disruptions pushed NBP D+1 closing pri.. -
Fundamentals
Published 28 Feb 2018
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Global LNG imports totalled 27.7 Mt in January 2018, 3.0 Mt higher than last year. While colder-than-average weather drove high imports in China and India, Japanese takes were mildly lower y/y despite modestly higher power generation. Mexican pipeline imports were largely sufficient for its domes.. -
Latin America – Jan 2018
Published 28 Feb 2018
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In January, Latin American LNG imports totalled 0.59 Mt, 0.15 Mt less y/y and the lowest level since February 2010. Small increases in takes from Puerto Rico (+0.03 Mt y/y to 0.13 Mt) and the Dominican Republic (+0.01 Mt y/y to 0.07 Mt) were overwhelmed by hefty declines elsewhere in the region... -
Mexico – Delay domino effect
Published 27 Feb 2018
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Mexican pipeline imports have kept at a steady rate of 4.4-4.5 bcf/d over 1–26 February, in line with January cross-border flows, both of which are 0.4 bcf/d higher y/y. LNG imports totalled 0.7 bcf/d in February according to preliminary tanker-tracking data from Kpler, in-line y/y. We fore.. -
European gas
Published 26 Feb 2018
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Forecast revisions showing extended cold weather kept NBP and continental prices volatile last week, and that volatility has spilled into this week with a further revision now calling for next week (ending 9 March) to be considerably milder than was predicted last week. Total European stock.. -
Norway – Jan 2018
Published 21 Feb 2018
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Aggregate Norwegian production edged down by 0.15 bcm (1%) y/y to 11.36 bcm in January, as unplanned outages curbed output and pipeline exports to Europe slumped on very mild weather. Aggregate Norwegian pipeline flows to Europe averaged 0.34 bcm/d last month, down by about 11 mcm/d (3%) y/y. Agg.. -
European gas
Published 19 Feb 2018
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Multiple revisions to weather forecasts kept NBP and continental prices volatile last week. Latest forecasts to end-February for a cold snap across Europe should drive prices upwards this week. Total European stocks dropped by 4.3 bcm in the week to 17 February, eroding the y/y storage surp.. -
Fundamentals
Published 13 Feb 2018
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Aggregate European natural gas demand fell in January as milder weather shrank res-com demand and power sector gas consumption fell on lower total power generation combined with higher renewable generation. In the UK, end-user gas demand was down by 0.4 bcm (4%) y/y while aggregate demand in the.. -
EU imports – Jan 2018
Published 13 Feb 2018
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Overall gas imports into the EU market shrank by 2.31 bcm (10%) in January to 20.24 bcm on lower Russian gas imports and LNG sendout, while pipeline imports from North Africa were mostly flat y/y. Milder weather in January cut res-com demand across Europe while lower total power generation and an.. -
European gas
Published 12 Feb 2018
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NBP and continental prices were volatile last week. An unplanned shutdown on the Forties Pipeline System (FPS) tightened supply and buoyed prices mid-week, while weather forecasts with temperatures revised higher and a softer energy complex softened contracts at the week’s end. For the comi.. -
Spain and Italy – Jan 2018
Published 7 Feb 2018
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Mild temperatures, lower power generation and higher renewable output shrank total gas demand across Spain and Italy in January. While Spanish gas demand dropped by 0.25 bcm (8%) y/y to 3.10 bcm, Italy recorded its most severe monthly decline in consumption since at least 2006, with a fall of 2.2..
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