Leyra Fernández Díaz
Leyra joined Energy Aspects in August 2016, working as a natural gas and emissions analyst. She holds a BSc in Politics and Economics from Brunel University. Before joining the team, she previously worked at Bloomberg’s commodity department for 3 years advising clients, and assisting with the development of Bloomberg’s commodity offering.
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Published 3 May 2018
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Mild weather across most of Europe and high renewable and hydro generation cut gas demand in April, while strong Russian flows offset lower Dutch and Norwegian supply, helping narrow the y/y storage gap. European stocks stood at 24.2 bcm on 1 May, down by 7.1 bcm y/y, compared to an 8.9 bcm gap a..
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Published 30 Apr 2018
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Global LNG imports in March rose by 1.25 Mt y/y to 25.05 Mt. While warmer weather and nuclear restarts cut Japanese LNG imports y/y and strong Egyptian domestic output cut MENA LNG take, the declines were more than offset by higher receipts elsewhere. South Korean imports rose y/y on record-high..
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Published 30 Apr 2018
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Weather continues to be the gift that keeps on giving to EU gas market excitement, as a blast of chilly weather combined with unplanned Norwegian outages boosted NBP and continental prices last week. The prompt at key European hubs drifted up by up to 5% w/w. Despite the cool weather, NW Europe s..
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Published 27 Apr 2018
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Total Latin American takes in March increased y/y by a minor 0.1 Mt to 1.1 Mt, as declines across the region were more than offset by strong growth in Mexican LNG imports. Strong hydro and wind generation shrank Brazilian LNG deliveries by 0.09 Mt y/y, while takes from Argentina were down by 0.04..
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Published 24 Apr 2018
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Chinese LNG receipts in March fell once more m/m, to 3.25 Mt, but were still 1.26 Mt (63%) higher y/y. In Q1 18, LNG takes totalled 12.4 Mt, the highest on record and up by a hefty 4.6 Mt (61%) y/y. Imports of pipeline gas also grew, to 2.7 Mt, a y/y increase of 0.4 Mt (18%). This was driven by s..
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Published 24 Apr 2018
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Our forecast for pipeline gas imports from the US to Mexico through this injection season remain unchanged from last month, at 4.6 bcf/d (+0.3 bcf/d y/y), with peak monthly flows closer to 4.7 bcf/d. Any upside to this figure is limited as the next wave of import capacity additions are only sched..
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Published 23 Apr 2018
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European gas prices were volatile last week amid numerous changes to the Norwegian maintenance schedule. On Thursday, Gassco revealed a 20 mcm/d outage that was intended to last the duration of the summer, only for the company to cancel the outage on Friday. In the end, NCS maintenance is now sch..
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Published 18 Apr 2018
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Japanese LNG imports in March slipped by 0.21 Mt (3%) y/y to 7.93 Mt as milder weather and the restart of the Ohi Unit 3 and Genkai Unit 3 nuclear reactors drove gas demand down. March numbers were expected to have benefitted from some heavier buying for the month in January and February, as Japa..
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Published 16 Apr 2018
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European gas prices stepped up last week due to changes in the Norwegian offshore summer maintenance schedule. Some 0.5 bcm more production capacity y/y will be affected by outages over the summer, a revision from having moderately less production affected y/y.
The rest of April is forecast to be..
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Published 11 Apr 2018
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Another month of unusually cold weather across Europe supported higher res-com demand and strong storage withdrawals in March. Russian gas exports into Europe reached a record high while Dutch output marked the first month of higher y/y output since September 2016 (+0.14 bcm, 4% y/y). Total Norwe..
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Published 10 Apr 2018
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Published 9 Apr 2018
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Below-normal temperatures in Europe prompted record high imports from Russia and strong African flows in March. LNG sendout slowed y/y as the premium Northeast Asian markets continued to lure cargoes that might otherwise have gone to Europe.
Country SO data indicate Russian exports into Europe cl..
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Published 9 Apr 2018
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Prices softened last week as Europe exited the withdrawal season and forecasts continued to call for above-normal temperatures at least until 18 April.
Res-com demand should be lower y/y over the next several days owing to higher temperatures. That said, the decline will be offset by higher..
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Published 5 Apr 2018
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Total gas consumption in Spain and Italy increased as lower temperatures prompted higher res-com demand, offsetting lower power sector gas burn due to higher wind and hydro generation.
Spanish total gas demand was 0.26 bcm (10%) higher y/y with non-power sector gas consumption expanded increasing..
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Published 5 Apr 2018
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Unusually cold weather boosted European gas demand last month, supporting strong pipeline supply and stockdraws. Higher Russian pipeline supply and a rare y/y increase in Dutch production helped offset a small drop in Norwegian supply and lower LNG sendout. Europe began the gas summer with 17.5 b..
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