Christine Armstrong
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US oil and shale output – Dec 2018
Published 28 Feb 2019
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We will not be publishing our review of US oil demand and trade for December 2018 today. The EIA reported that it was unable to obtain accurate import and export data due to the US government shutdown. The US Census Bureau is expected to release December trade data on 6 March and the EIA will rel.. -
US Department of Energy
Published 27 Feb 2019
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Users licensed for the data service can access our US crude balances.Extract from crude oil:Market participants will return from IP Week in London to find a USGC price deck significantly more expensive than when they left, and yet the overarching theme concerning US markets at IP w.. -
US Department of Energy
Published 21 Feb 2019
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Extract from crude oil:Cushing logged an impressive build of 3.4 mb this week, though it was materially below many expectations and was tempered by a smaller but significant draw at Patoka. The build was on the back of the Keystone Patoka leg outage causing higher flows into the Hub since 7 Febru.. -
Canada oil data – Dec 2018
Published 18 Feb 2019
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Users licensed for the data service can access our Canadian demand and production data and our Canadian crude balances.Extract from production:We forecast that Canadian liquids production in December fell by 85 thousand b/d m/m to 5.36 mb/d (+0.14 mb/d y/y), led by a 43 thousand b/d m/m.. -
US Department of Energy
Published 13 Feb 2019
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Users licensed for the data service can access our US crude balances.Extract from crude oil:The surfeit of infrastructure outages continues unabated across North America and, on first glance, casts concerns over WTI prices and spreads. A number of Phillips 66 refineries featur.. -
US Department of Energy
Published 6 Feb 2019
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Users licensed for the data service can access our US crude balances.Extract from crude oil:The prompt Cushing outlook looked balanced to mildly bullish last week following the rally in Midland differentials, which in our view should have resulted in lower flows on the Basin pipeli.. -
US oil and shale output – Nov 2018
Published 31 Jan 2019
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We will not be publishing our review of US oil demand and trade for November 2018 today. The EIA reported that it was unable to obtain accurate import and export data due to the US government shutdown and has used average levels from October as a substitute in its November data release. As a resu.. -
Albertan mandated production cuts loosened - WCS at Hardisty should weaken to open rail arbs
Published 31 Jan 2019 by -
US Department of Energy
Published 30 Jan 2019
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Users licensed for the data service can access our US crude balances.Extract from crude oil:Cushing stocks drew by 0.15 mb, taking stocks at the hub to 41.2 mb, with month-to-date draws of nearly 1 mb, contrary to our expectations of a 3.3 mb January build that we had put out at the start of the.. -
US Department of Energy
Published 24 Jan 2019
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Extract from crude oil:Prompt North American shale production concerns have resurfaced over the last week, as high-frequency data begins to reveal the Q1 19 deceleration predicted by oil service companies since late last year. Last week, total US rigs dropped by 25 to 1,050—21 of these.. -
Canada oil data – Nov 2018
Published 21 Jan 2019
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Extract from production:Based on preliminary data, we forecast that total Canadian liquids production in November was up m/m by approximately 89 thousand b/d at 5.43 mb/d (+0.32 mb/d y/y). While upgraded and mined volumes rose m/m by 0.13 mb/d, primarily driven by a 46 thousand b/d increase at Su.. -
US Department of Energy
Published 16 Jan 2019
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Extract from crude oil:Sweet-sour spreads remain very narrow in the Gulf, demonstrated by a $2 per barrel spread in the key LLS-Mars differential. The advance of tight oil production over the last three years has priced itself into the local refinery system and perpetuated a nearly uninterru.. -
Bakken production lower in November after four consecutive months of growth
Published 15 Jan 2019 by -
US Department of Energy
Published 9 Jan 2019
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Extract from crude oil:Worldwide oil prices have started 2019 with a 9% recovery after a significant correction in Q4 18. Prompt ICE Brent has rallied by $4.92 and prompt CME WTI has rallied by $4.37, but contango persists in both benchmarks, with the front-month contracts discounted by $0.60 and.. -
US oil and shale output – Oct 2018
Published 3 Jan 2019
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US total liquids production averaged 17.29 mb/d in October, higher m/m by 52 thousand b/d and y/y by 2.42 mb/d. Crude output increased m/m by 79 thousand b/d to 11.54 mb/d, up y/y by 1.83 mb/d, which was slightly higher than our forecast of flat m/m production based onstorm-related outages in the..
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